Sunday, May 31, 2015

Fannie, Freddie ease mortgage credit in policy…

WASHINGTON — The federal agency overseeing the mortgage insurance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac signaled a robust federal involvement in the mortgage markets for the foreseeable future, working to make more credit available to home buyers even as it tries to reduce the risk to taxpayers.

"Housing finance is such a critical part of the economy," Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt said Tuesday. "To stop, or stand in place, is just not an option."

In his first major speech since taking over the agency in January, Watt did not weigh in on the various proposals in Congress to overhaul housing finance policy. His remarks came as the Senate Banking Committee considers legislation that would eventually phase out Fannie and Freddie's central role in the mortgage markets. A committee vote could come Thursday.

"Our goals are consistent with operating Fannie and Freddie in the here and the now, and we'll do that until there is legislation passed," said Watt, a former North Carolina congressman and influential member of the Financial Services committee before President Obama nominated him to the housing post.

But without waiting for Congress, Watt did announce a number of policy shifts for Fannie and Freddie, the government-run companies that help guarantee about half of all mortgage loans:

• Reversing a proposal it made last year, the agency will not reduce the size of mortgage Fannie and Freddie will back. Current rules limit those mortgages to $417,000 in most of the country and as big as $625,500 in higher-cost areas. Watt said the policy shift came after the agency heard "concerns about how such a reduction could adversely impact the health of the current housing finance market."

• Fannie and Freddie will continue to back loans even when the borrower misses two mortgage payments in the first three years after a lender acquires the loan. Under current standards, Fannie and Freddie can force lenders to repurchase those mortgages, which made those lenders ! reluctant to make the loans in the first place. That, Watt said, "undermines the goal of improving access to mortgage credit for creditworthy borrowers."

• The agency will launch a foreclosure relief pilot project in Detroit, which could give more relief to homeowners and help get foreclosed properties back on the market more quickly. "We believe this will be a win-win for hardest hit communities and for our conservatorship objectives," Watt said.

Michael Calhoun, the president of the Center for Responsible Lending, said the speech at the Brookings Institution Tuesday was "vintage Watt" — an attempt to make home ownership accessible for more people, but with an eye for stability.

"He is for broad access, but only sustainable access," he said. "I think one of the things that makes him well suited for this job was that middle-of-the-road approach you heard here today."

Those policy changes come as Congress debates whether to revoke the charters for the two government-sponsored mortgage giants. The government forced Fannie and Freddie into conservatorship during the depths of the housing crisis in 2008, putting taxpayers behind the mortgages they guarantee. Fannie and Freddie are now earning record profits for the U.S. Treasury.

The Senate Banking Committee will vote Thursday on a bill that would phase out Fannie and Freddie, replacing them with a system in which private lenders would assume most of the risk of bad loans.

The bill appears to have enough bipartisan support to pass the committee. But some more liberal Democratic senators — including Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Sherrod Brown of Ohio — have withheld their support, seeking assurances that low-income borrowers would still have access to credit and that smaller community banks wouldn't be shut out of the market.

Without the support of more Democrats, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said he will not bring the bill to the floor for a vote, putting the fate of Fannie and Fredd! ie in the! hands of the next Congress.

Follow @gregorykorte on Twitter.

Thursday, May 28, 2015

Lawsuit: CME aided high-frequency traders

Three traders have accused the world's largest futures market of letting high-frequency traders get an improper advance look at price and market data and execute trades using the data before other market participants.

In a federal lawsuit seeking class-action status, the traders alleged that the CME Group secretly maintained the practice from 2007 through this month and financially victimized an untold number of market participants by engaging in "a fraud on the marketplace."

The traders charged that CME, owner of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Chicago Board of Trade, falsely assured all market participants that their exchange fees and data-fees gave them access to financial data "in real time."

But high-frequency traders, equipped with powerful computing equipment that can receive and execute trades on financial data in tiny fractions of a second, got the market information before anyone else, according to the April 11 lawsuit filed in the Northern District of Illinois.

By allowing the procedure and failing to disclose it to all traders, the CME "institutionalized market manipulation and created an opaque and hidden marketplace for financial futures," the lawsuit charged.

The case was filed amid government and regulatory probes examining whether high-frequency traders have an unfair edge over competitors. The investigations have gained increased public focus with last month's publication of "Flash Boys," a critical examination of high-frequency trading by author Michael Lewis.

In response, the CME Group said the lawsuit was "devoid of any facts supporting the allegations" and demonstrated "a fundamental misunderstanding of how our markets operate."

"It is sad when plaintiffs' lawyers bring a suit based on a desire for publicity, and in the rush to file a suit fail to undertake even the most basic effort to determine if there is any basis for their allegations," said the CME Group, calling the case "without merit."

The lawsuit was filed on behalf of fu! tures traders William Braman, Mark Mendelson and John Simms, but seeks class-action status to represent other market participants allegedly damaged by preferential treatment of high-frequency trading.

The action accuses the CME Group of fraud, fraudulent concealment, market manipulation and disseminating false information. It seeks unspecified compensation for financial damages.

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Hedge Fund Billionaire Mario Gabelli´s Latest Positions

Mario Gabelli (Trades, Portfolio) is chairman, and CEO of Gabelli Asset Management Company Investors (GAMCO Investors). In recent days he bought three new stocks, and holds 824 in total, in a portfolio valued at $18.7 billion.

NuPathe Inc. (PATH)

Gabelli revealed owning a stake of 1,313,500 NuPathe Inc. shares, worth 0.01% of his portfolio. NuPathe Inc. has a market cap of $142 million; its shares are trading currently at around $4.3 with a P/B ratio of 18.4.

NuPathe is a specialty pharmaceutical company, focusing on the development and commercialization of branded therapeutics for neurological and psychiatric disorders. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA) announced a tender offer for all of the outstanding shares of common stock at a price of $3.65 per share in cash, and NuPathe stockholders will receive rights to receive additional cash payments of up to $3.15 per share The firm will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Teva, and common stock will cease to be traded on the Nasdaq following completion of the merger.

Hedge fund gurus have also been active in the company: Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio) and Ronald Muhlenkamp (Trades, Portfolio) have invested in it.

ATMI Inc. (ATMI)

Gabelli reported a stake of 1,193,900 shares of ATMI Inc., sized at 0.22% of his portfolio, and 3.75% of the company. It has a market cap of $1.08 billion; its shares are trading at $34.04 with a P/E ratio of 28.6 and P/S ratio of 2.77.

ATMI supplies high performance materials, materials packaging and materials delivery systems for use in the manufacture of microelectronics devices worldwide. ATMI agreed to be acquired by Entegris (ENTG) for $1.15 billion, or $34 per share. The deal will provide a lot more of product offerings. The acquisition is expected to close during the second calendar quarter of 2014.

Hedge fund gurus have also been active in the company. Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio), Arnold Schneider (Trades, Portfolio) and Paul Tudor Jones (Trades, Portfolio) have divested in it in the last quarter.

Nobility Homes Inc. (NOBH)

Finally, Gabelli reported owning 234.950 shares of Nobility Homes, sized at 5.97% of the company's shares outstanding and 0.01% of Gabelli's portfolio. The company has a market cap of $44.63 million, with a P/E of 59.6 and P/S of 2.41.

The firm designs, manufactures and sells a line of manufactured and modular homes in Florida. Like most other builders in the U.S. market, the company had difficulties in the past years. However, it has a strong financial position, with no debt in its balance sheet, which we think is a good way to face the probable next scenario of rising interest rates.

Final Comment

I always like to see one of the most important financial ratios applying to stockholders, the best measure of performance for a firm's management: the return on equity. Let´s compare each company with the industry mean in the next table:

Ticker

ROE (%)

Industry Mean (%)

PATH

-814

-24

ATMI

8,3

2,2

NOBH

2,1

4,2

As we can see, ATMI has a higher ROE than its peers, which is considered good. On the other hand, Nobility has a weak ROE, but it is still positive and is really amazing compared to NuPathe's negative ROE.

Disclosure: Vanina Egea holds no position in any stocks mentioned.


Also check out: Mario Gabelli Undervalued Stocks Mario Gabelli Top Growth Companies Mario Gabelli High Yield stocks, and Stocks that Mario Gabelli keeps buying
About the author:Vanina EgeaA fundamental analyst at Lone Tree Analytics

Visit Vanina Egea's Website


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PATH STOCK PRICE CHART 4.25 (1y: +19%) $(function() { var seriesOptions = [], yAxisOptions = [], name = 'PATH', display = ''; Highcharts.setOptions({ global: { useUTC: true } }); var d = new Date(); $current_day = d.getDay(); if ($current_day == 5 || $current_day == 0 || $current_day == 6){ day = 4; } else{ day = 7; } seriesOptions[0] = { id : name, animation:false, color: '#4572A7', lineWidth: 1, name : name.toUpperCase() + ' stock price', threshold : null, data : [[1361512800000,3.58],[1361772000000,3.45],[1361858400000,3.4],[1361944800000,3.35],[1362031200000,3.27],[1362117600000,3.25],[1362376800000,3.18],[1362463200000,3.13],[1362549600000,3.11],[1362636000000,3.31],[1362722400000,3.44],[1362978000000,3.43],[1363064400000,3.4],[1363150800000,3.45],[1363237200000,3.46],[1363323600000,3.46],[1363582800000,3.51],[1363669200000,3.45],[1363755600000,3.61],[1363842000000,3.56],[1363928400000,3.57],[1364187600000,3.66],[1364274000000,3.42],[1364360400000,3.42],[1364446800000,3.45],[1364792400000,3.55],[1364878800000,3.62],[1364965200000,3.5],[1365051600000,3.6],[1365138000000,3.6],[1365397200000,3.66],[1365483600000,3.64],[1365570000000,3.65],[1365656400000,3.61],[1365742800000,3.62],[1366002000000,3.59],[1366088400000,3.63],[1366174800000,3.59],[1366261200000,3.51],[1366347600000,3.455],[1366606800000,3.39],[1366693200000,3.47],[1366779600000,3.418],[1366866000000,3.37],[1366952400000,3.38],[1367211600000,3.35],[1367298000000,3.36],[1367384400000,3.34],[1367470800000,3.3],[1367557200000,3.34],[1367816400000,3.29],[1367902800000,3.29],[1367989200000,3.33],[1368075600000,3.32],[1368162000000,3.32],[1368421200000,3.31],[1368507600000,3.22],[1368594000000,3.225],[1368680400000,3.15],[1368766800000,3.2],[1369026000000,3.16],[1369112400000,3.15],[1369198800

Monday, May 25, 2015

Q&A: HVAC firm's logon used in Target breach

SEATTLE – In his latest scoop, investigative blogger Brian Krebs makes the case that the Target vendor whose network credentials were used to tap into 110 million customer accounts may have been a heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) contractor.

More: Target breach timeline of disclosures

CyberTruth asked Boatner Blankenstein, Sr., director of solutions engineering at enterprise software vendor Bomgar; Jeff Swearingen, CEO of SecureLink, and Dr. Lance Larson, information systems professor at San Diego State University to outline the implications.

CT: Is it surprising that an HVAC vendor had credentials that could get someone into Target's point-of-sale systems?

Swearingen: It's surprising but understandable. A large data center environment may have thousands of applications that work together, so enabling access to one application server may accidentally open a door to another.

Larson: Access control and environmental monitoring systems now routinely integrate air conditioning, door access control systems, and fire and police alarm systems into one, so-called, smart system.

CT: What are other examples of this sort of access routinely given to partners and contractors?

Blankenstein: Software manufacturers that support their applications need access. This could include vendors who sell time card systems, multi-functions printers and copiers, or medical records software. A big retailer needs vendors to regularly monitor, patch and update their software.

Swearingen: Software vendors, contractors and other third parties are frequently given access to privileged, or administrative accounts. This type of access is very different than the access you give to your employees, but all too frequently managed the same way. Your employee can view a sales report. Your vendor can copy a database.

CT: Will companies have to tighten down?

Blankenstein: There are things companies should do to prevent this type of event. Require vendors to use a! remote access solution that limits access to individual applications or servers, rather than giving them open VPN access. Use two-factor authentication to access your network. And capture a secure audit trail of any activity that vendor conducts.

Larson: Network Segmentation would only give network users access to the network areas they need to do their job. And least privileged access is the understanding that a network administrator only give a user the permissions required to do their job.

Sunday, May 24, 2015

Citigroup Divides Analysts

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Citigroup (C) is shaping up to be one of the more polarizing stocks going into the fourth quarter earnings season, which gets under way next week.

On Monday, Citi got a pair of price target hikes from two veteran analysts. Sandler O'Neill's Jeff Harte and Barclays Capital's Jason Goldberg. Goldberg also hiked target prices on other big banks, including Wells Fargo (WFC), US Bancorp (USB), Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), while lifting both his recommendation and price target on Huntington Bancshares (HBAN). Harte, on the other hand, just focused on Citi.

Harte raised his target on Citigroup to $60 from $56, while Goldberg upped his target to $60 from $58, according to Bloomberg data. The accompanying reports could not be obtained. Citigroup shares were up by 0.75% to $53.80 in early trading on Monday, while shares of other big banks, including JPMorgan and Bank of America showed similar gains.

But Deutsche Bank analyst Matt O'Connor came out with a report on Monday citing Citi, along with JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley (MS), as the bank stock where he was furthest below consensus in his fourth quarter earnings projections. In all three cases, O'Connor predicts litigation costs and weak trading in the fixed income currencies and commodities divisions will cause a bigger drag on earnings than analysts are already expecting. O'Connor sees Citi earning just $0.92 per share, vs. a Bloomberg consensus of $1.05 and a Thomson Reuters consensus of $1.06. Citigroup will report earnings ahead of the bell on Jan. 16. ^SPX Chart
^SPX data by YCharts -- Written by Dan Freed in New York. Follow @dan_freed


Stock quotes in this article: C, JPM 

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Apple reaches iPhone deal with China Mobile

Apple has reached a long-awaited deal to bring iPhone to China Mobile, world's biggest phone carrier.

The companies announced a multi-year deal, to begin selling the iPhone 5s and iPhone 5c in China on Jan. 17. Pricing was not announced.

Apple shares will likely rise based on the deal and could help drive earnings per share through 2014, says Brian Marshall, an analyst with International Strategy & Investment Group. "The deal is long-anticipated but finally announced," he says. "We think it's a big deal."

That's because analysts have estimated that the Apple could sell perhaps an additional 20 million iPhones in China in 2014 once it's working with China Mobile. But Creative Strategies analyst Ben Bajarin said the deal, while "huge for Apple ... is underestimated by most analysts. It could very well ramp faster than any of us can imagine."

Apple has sold about 23 million iPhones in China over the past year. China Mobile, which is roughly twice the size of the other two carriers combined that already sell the iPhone, is building out the world's largest 4G network. "There's pretty big pent-up demand on China Mobile for the iPhone," Bajarin says.

Apple CEO Tim Cook said as much in a statement announcing the deal. "China is an extremely important market for Apple and our partnership with China Mobile presents us the opportunity to bring iPhone to the customers of the world's largest network."

China Mobile, which has 760 million subscribers, has been seen as a crucial market for Apple."We know there are many China Mobile customers and potential new customers who are anxiously awaiting the incredible combination of iPhone on China Mobile's leading network," China Mobile Chairman Xi Guohua said in a statement.

Both Apple and China Mobile will sell the phones in their stores. Potential buyers can pre-register as of Dec. 25 on China Mobile's site.

Several published reports earlier had said pricing was a hangup in deal because gray-market prices made the phones ! significantly more costly than in other markets.

Regardless, "the China Mobile deal allows Apple to cast a wide net in one of the world's fastest growing smartphone markets," says IDC mobile tech analyst Kevin Restivo.

Contributing: The Associated Press

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

New Microsoft tablets reach beyond Surface appeal

NEW YORK -- Microsoft took a colossal $900 million inventory adjustment on Surface RT in July that left people questioning the very future of Microsoft-branded tablets.

Surface RT was the first personal computer that Microsoft produced itself and it ran the flavor of Windows designed mainly for the tablet user. Its pricier Surface Pro sibling ran a full version of Windows 8, and unlike RT, was compatible with older "legacy" Windows PC software making it more of the true laptop replacement Microsoft positions it to be.

Either way, Microsoft didn't exactly have a hit on its hands.

Microsoft isn't surrendering to the iPad (which is expected to be refreshed Tuesday) or for that matter the company's various hardware partners-turned-rivals that also have a stake in Windows 8. Nokia, which is soon to be under Microsoft, is also expected to unveil a new tablet this week.

I've had a chance to check out the two new machines Microsoft hopes will turn around its tablet business, ahead of their Tuesday launch. There's Surface 2 that runs Windows RT 8.1 and ranges from $449 to $549, and Surface Pro 2 that runs Windows 8.1 Pro and fetches between $899 and $1,799.

Make no mistake, Microsoft has made more than surface improvements to its tablets, and the move to Windows 8.1 software, which addresses prior shortcomings, is also significant. But challenges remain. As a tablet neither Surface can outduel the iPad. And I'm not fully sold on the Pro model as the ideal full-time laptop substitute.

I say that liking a lot of what Microsoft has done here. The latest hardware sports amped up processing power, longer battery life, improved cameras, and in the case of Surface 2 a step up in screen quality to a 10.6-inch Full HD 1080p multi-touch display. (Surface Pro was already delivering Full HD in a 10.6-inch screen.).

Surface 2 also gets a single USB 3.0 port — it was a 2.0 port last time. Both slates have memory card readers.

At 1.5 pounds, Surface 2 is a shade thinner and ligh! ter than its predecessor. The biggest cosmetic change is Surface 2 now comes in an Apple-like magnesium silver color compared to the dark titanium hue of the original.

Meantime, the 2-pound Pro 2, pretty heavy and bulky for a tablet, weighs the same and is practically a dead ringer for the first Pro.

Changes from the original Surface

The original Surface models were noted for a kickstand attached to the back that propped it up on a tabletop as you took in a video. But some folks complained it was hard to use on your lap, so Microsoft added a second kickstand position that simplifies usability on your lap.

In its first iteration, Surface RT included Word, PowerPoint, Excel and OneNote from the Microsoft Office suite. But Outlook was missing in action. That unfortunate oversight has been remedied with Surface 2. (You'll have to pay to use Office on the Pro model.)

Last time around, Microsoft did a lot right with clever keyboard covers that bring real Qwerty typing to these contraptions — these really were must-have accessories if you wanted to get productive work done. Microsoft has improved those optional accessories. So now, we have a back-lit thinner and lighter Touch Cover 2 (about $120) that Microsoft claims you can type up to two times faster than using an onscreen keyboard.

I actually prefer using the Type Cover 2 (about $130) because it provides some of the "travel" on the keys that I'm accustomed to on a regular laptop, though it still won't make you forget, say, a good ThinkPad keyboard. Type Cover 2 is backlit and available in different colors, with a touchpad you can use for gestures. As before, you hear a distinctive click sound when you magnetically snap these accessories onto the tablet.

Early next year, Microsoft is planning to bring out a $200 keyboard cover with a built in battery that it says will bolster battery life on the tablet up to 50%.

The battery life on the latest slates is improved but nothing to write home about. In my very ha! rsh test ! in which I crank the brightness all the way up and stream video over Wi-Fi, Surface 2 approached seven hours of juice, while Pro exceeded five hours. That's better than the six hours and three-and-a-half hours of battery life I got with their predecessors on similar tests.

Surface 2 costs $449 for 32GB, $549 for 64GB. Surface Pro 2, which comes with a digitizer pen, costs $899, $999, $1,299 or $1,799, for 64GB, 128GB, 256GB and 512GB, respectively.

Buy either tablet, and Microsoft has throws in a nice bonus: a year of free Skype calling to landlines in more than 60 countries, unlimited Skype Wi-Fi, 200GB of free storage on Microsoft's SkyDrive online locker for two years.

I mostly appreciate what Microsoft has done with the hardware but I'm not betting on a major surge in sales either. Consider the drawbacks: the Pro device is pricey (especially when you lop on the cost of the keyboard covers.) Surface 2 still doesn't run your older software.

And then there's Windows 8 (now 8.1) itself. I happen to like the operating system more than some, but understand the confusion its bipolar characteristics brings to the table. Microsoft has been trying to have it all, an operating system that appeals equally well to tablet users who have come to rely on multi-touch screens, but also those who prefer a more traditional mouse/keyboard /PC approach.

So you have a Windows that in its touch environment is built around a fresh live-tile based interface yet one that doesn't totally abandon a desktop view more reminiscent of of Windows from yesteryear.

Microsoft took some heat for doing away with the Start button and menu inherent in the old Windows, and with Windows 8.1, the Start button has been restored. But it's only a half-step back. Tapping Start in the desktop environment only brings you back to the tile interface.

You do have the option to boot up into either environment, and the 8.1-update introduces more polish and customization overall. Bing Search is neatly integrate! d, I like! how you can display (and resize) windows side by side, and even the app count is slowly but surely rising. It is up to 110,000 now, still far behind rivals.

By now the folks who jumped on the Windows 8 bus should be accustomed to the way things are done. But it seems just as many PC devotees stuck with Windows 7, because of how radically different Windows 8 proved to be.

If you are willing to consider Microsoft's latest tablets, you have some decisions to make: Go with an RT device that is far less expensive but that can't run older software. Or splurge on the pricier Pro model that can (keeping in mind you may have to connect an optical drive) handle older software but doesn't deliver as long a battery. And if you're going to go the latter route, then you're not only comparing Surface Pro to other tablets, but to a wide range of excellent laptops, a comparison Surface Pro is not always going to win.

Email: ebaig@usatoday.com. Follow @edbaig on Twitter.

The bottom line

Surface Pro 2

www.surface.com

$899 and up

Pro Runs legacy Windows software. Zippy. Impressive hardware. Keyboard covers. 200GB of SkyDrive storage for two years, plus year of Skype calling. Kickstand improved.

Con Expensive. So-so battery life. Keyboard covers cost extra.

Surface RT

$449 and up

Pro Microsoft Outlook added to included Office suite. 200GB of SkyDrive storage for two years, plus year of Skype calling. Kickstand improved.

Con Doesn't run older PC software. Keyboard covers cost extra.

Monday, May 18, 2015

JPMorgan (JPM) Dealt Blow in $4B Settlement: Report

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- In another bruise to its balance sheet, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has reportedly agreed to a tentative $4 billion settlement with the U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), according to The Wall Street Journal. The deal would settle allegations the big bank misled Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, government-sponsored entities, on mortgages it sold them.

The final amount to be determined will be bundled with settlements already reached in claims against the bank from the Department of Justice. The figure could reach as high as $11 billion, according to media estimates.

A JPMorgan spokesman declined to comment.

Earlier in the month, JPMorgan reported an unexpected third-quarter loss of $380 million or 17 cents a share, mainly due to $7.2 billion in legal expenses accrued during the period. Shares closed slightly higher, gaining 0.17% in Friday trading to close at $54.30. TheStreet Ratings team rates JPMORGAN CHASE & CO as a Buy with a ratings score of B+. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation: "We rate JPMORGAN CHASE & CO (JPM) a BUY. This is driven by several positive factors, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, good cash flow from operations, compelling growth in net income, solid stock price performance and notable return on equity. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had generally high debt management risk by most measures that we evaluated." You can view the full analysis from the report here: JPM Ratings Report

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Blue Calypso Expands IP Portfolio by Purchasing Mobile Gamification Technology (OTCBB:BCYP)

bcyp

Blue Calypso, Inc. (BCYP)

Today, BCYP surged (+1.17%) up +0.002 at $.173 with  631,330 shares in play thus far (ref. google finance Delayed: 2:29PM EDT September 26, 2013).

Blue Calypso, Inc. previously increased its intellectual property portfolio by purchasing proprietary mobile gamification technology in an all-stock transaction for approximately $150,000.

Blue Calypso has already applied for one new patent based on the integration of this technology with its own platform. Management expects to further develop the intellectual property purchased as well as file a family of patent applications. This new family of patents combined with Blue Calypso's existing patents, creates an unprecedented IP portfolio in the social media space.

Blue Calypso, Inc. (BCYP) 5 day chart:

bcypchart

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Will the Fed send mortgage rates higher?

30 year fixed mortgage 091713 NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Housing market experts are keeping a close eye on the Federal Reserve as they anxiously await word on whether the agency will start pulling back on its controversial stimulus program, known as quantitative easing.

Since September of last year, the Fed has been buying $85 billion in mortgage-backed securities and Treasury bonds a month to help support the economy. The purchases have been credited for the historically low mortgage rates seen this year, which ultimately helped stimulate home sales and boost prices.

But now the Fed is expected to announce that it will scale back on its bond-buying program -- a move that is expected to cause rates to slowly rise, said Doug Duncan, chief economist for Fannie Mae.

The mortgage market has already factored in a modest cutback in the Fed's purchases. Mortgage rates have risen 1.2 percentage points since May when Fed chairman Ben Bernanke mentioned the possibility of reducing the agency's bond-buying program. In June, he noted that the tapering could begin as early as September, if the economic recovery continued on course.

However, even if the Fed started cutting back on its bond purchases this month, many don't expect the cuts to be sizable. "The recovery has been weaker the past couple of months than what the Fed had been talking about," said Duncan. "It would be a surprise if they act aggressively."

Duncan said initial cuts to the bond-buying program likely won't exceed $10 billion a month and most of those cuts will be in Treasuries.

Those expectations were reinforced in a paper presented by Northwestern University economists Arvind Krishnamurthy and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen at an annual meeting for central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyo., late last month. The economists found that the purchase of mortgage-backed securities served as a more effective stimulus than the purchase of Treasury bonds.

Should the Fed continue to purchase mortgage-backed securities at current rates, there is a chance mortgage rates could actually head lower, said Keith Gumbinger of HSH.com, a mortgage information provider.

Frank Nothaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac, expects the Fed to act slightly more aggressively. He anticipates that the agency will cut its purchases of Treasuries by about $10 billion a month and reduce its purchases of mortgage-backed securities by $5 billion. He expects the Fed to continu! e to scale back its purchases through mid-2014, when the program would end entirely.

As a result, Nothaft expects mortgage rates to climb to close to 5% by next June. Last week, the 30-year fixed rate averaged 4.6%.

Quiz: How much do you know about mortgages?

Despite higher mortgage rates, only a small number of potential homebuyers -- those who would have to struggle to afford a home in the first place -- would put the brakes on their purchases, said Nothaft.

Remaining buyers would probably welcome a slight cooling off in the housing market. Home prices were up 12.1% in June compared with a year earlier, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index.

That kind of surge has stirred fears of a new housing bubble and many economists -- and homebuyers -- wouldn't mind seeing price gains come back to more normal levels. To top of page

Sunday, May 10, 2015

PIMCO’s Gross: Fed in a Corner, Will ‘Taper’ by Year’s End

Nobody puts Bernanke in a corner.

PIMCO chief Bill Gross noted the squawks from the more hawkish members of the Fed to begin exiting the now three-year-old QE program. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen, however, are advocating its continuation until the national unemployment rate hits 6.5%.

“It is a conundrum,” Gross told The Daily Ticker on Monday. “He’s in a corner as are all central banks. We have sympathy.”

The website notes “sympathy” for Bernanke does not equal support; Gross has been critical of the Fed’s QE program. He writes in his latest investment outlook:

“Our global financial system at the zero-bound is beginning to resemble a leukemia patient with New Age chemotherapy, desperately attempting to cure an economy that requires structural as opposed to monetary solutions. Their near-zero-based interest rates and QEs that have lowered carry and risk premiums have stabilized real economies, but not returned them to old normal growth rates. Perhaps, in addition to a fiscally confused Washington, [the Fed’s] policies that may be now part of the problem rather than the solution.”

Bernanke’s “out,” it would seem, is to begin tapering, a term that, like “sequester” and “fiscal cliff,” will soon enter the general economic lexicon.

“Be prepared to hear the word ‘taper,’ which is all about how far and how fast the Fed will eventually unwind all the liquidity and roll back the bond buying,” T. Rowe Price Equity Series investment board member Stephon Jackson said recently.

Gross notes that the Fed’s leadership may be weary of turning off the QE spigots too soon, but that Bernanke has also “exacerbated” the negative consequences of monetary policy.

 “It’s hard to get out once you get in the quicksand,” he quipped to the Ticker.

As a result, he thinks the Fed will have to taper its bond purchases by the end of the year. Lower deficits in Washington mean the Treasury will issue less debt, he said, which could create a shortage of Treasury securities if the Fed continues QE at its current pace.

“It creates a problem … if the Fed owns all the Treasuries,” Gross said. “Then there is no market for the bonds. So I think at some point they’d taper if only to permit the rest of us to have a few.” 

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