Friday, October 31, 2014

Is Mylan's Lively Third Quarter the Start of Something Special?

The market has undergone a topsy-turvy second half of 2014; but for investors in leading generic drugmaker Mylan (NASDAQ: MYL  ) , the year's brought a bountiful harvest. Mylan's stock has rocketed up more than 20% year to date, with shares vaulting higher by more than 15% in the past month alone.

Wall Street's confidence in the company's deal to acquire a portion of healthcare giant Abbott Labs' generic drug unit has certainly helped that trend both from the anticipated tax advantages, and the addition of the business' significant annual sales. However, Mylan had the chance after the market close on Thursday to add to its 2014 windfall with a solid third-quarter result. Let's take a look at how the company fared.

Beating the Street on both sides
Investors already received a welcome boost from Mylan's improved guidance earlier in October, but the company impressed, yet again, with a solid top- and bottom-line beat on Thursday. The generic drugmaker reported diluted earnings per share of $1.16, a jump of 41% year over year that topped Wall Street's quarterly projections by $0.02. Mylan's revenue surged by 18% over last year's Q3, hitting $2.08 billion to exceed average estimates of $2.07 billion for the quarter.

If earlier guidance raises weren't enough, Mylan also increased its full-year earnings projection. Now, the company expects 2014 earnings per share between $3.54 and $3.60, up from an earlier estimated range of between $3.44 and $3.54.

Why the optimism? Mylan's business revved up across all segments in the third quarter. Third-party sales of specialty drugs, in particular, highlighted Mylan's jump, with a 29% year-over-year gain in revenues.

While specialty drugs make up only around 22% of the company's total sales, it's a stellar gain that's helped the drugmaker's adjusted free cash flow jump by more than 65% year to date, according to CFO John Sheehan. Mylan also pushed its gross margin higher, gaining three percentage points, to 54% in the third quarter.

The company's generics business, its bread and butter, which is responsible for the large majority of total revenue, didn't skimp out on growth, either. Third-party net sales of generics climbed 18% year over year, with a surge in North American sales by 19% powering that gain.

Will growth keep up?
It's an exciting result for Mylan investors; but what does it mean for this company's -- and its stock's -- future?

The North American generic drug market is on fire. Mylan's strong report comes after rival Teva Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: TEVA  ) reported its own third-quarter results recently. Teva's U.S. generic drug sales hit a snag in the third quarter, but still have jumped 8% during the past nine months, with increased profitability making up for the Q3 sales slide.

With overall U.S. healthcare expenditures still on the rise, lower-priced generic drugs should continue to see gains against far more expensive branded drugs in terms of overall prescriptions. The IMS Institute for Healthcare Informatics projected back in Dec. 2012 that generic drugs will make up 87% of overall prescriptions by 2017, a big jump from a 78% share of prescriptions in just 2010. That bodes well for Mylan's North American business, which makes up more than half of the company's generic third-party net sales, and around 40% of total company revenues.

Mylan's European business still holds its own, with a 15% share of generic revenue -- and, unfortunately, growth hasn't been so strong across the Atlantic, with a mere 1% year-over-year gain in net third-party sales for the quarter. However, the company's overseas business should see a lift if, as expected, Mylan's agreement to acquire a portion of Abbott Labs' generic business closes by the beginning of 2015.

Wall Street estimates that the deal will add up to $2 billion in annual revenues to Mylan's coffers from drug sales in Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and Japan. The two companies have adjusted terms of the deal so that Abbott will receive a 22% stake in the new company, presumably to pass by updated U.S. regulatory laws aimed at cracking down on tax inversions. Still, with Mylan looking to incorporate overseas should the deal close, the company hopes to lower its tax hit from a current 25% rate down into the mid-teens in the coming years.

The result? The drugmaker aims at full-year diluted earnings per share of $6 by 2018. If the deal to acquire Abbott's unit succeeds, and Mylan makes the most of its new business while keeping North American generic drug growth on track, this stock is poised to emerge as a long-term winner. Today's earnings beat is another brick on the foundation of that success.

These long-term winners could change your financial future
Mylan's long-term projections look strong, but there's one reliable way to ensure your portfolio's financial success: dividends. The smartest investors know that dividend stocks simply crush their non-dividend paying counterparts over the long term. That's beyond dispute. They also know that a well-constructed dividend portfolio creates wealth steadily, while still allowing you to sleep like a baby. Knowing how valuable such a portfolio might be, our top analysts put together a report on a group of high-yielding stocks that should be in any income investor's portfolio. To see our free report on these stocks, just click here.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Yes, There are Still Reasons to Buy McDonald’s

McDonald’s (MCD) is a disappointment. Its most recent earnings and revenue numbers were below the Street consensus. Its same-store sales are sliding. And its shares have dropped 4.8% so far this year, underperforming the S&P 500 by nearly 12 points. In fact, all that investors have at this point is a pledge for change, and that’s likely to disappoint too.

Getty Images

Unless it doesn’t. That plus the fast-food giant’s heft dividend are enough justification to buy McDonald’s, says UBS analyst Keith Siegner and team. He explains:

This has been a frustrating year and could remain so as competition cont. to effectively execute and innovate against what appears not enough from MCD in months ahead. We are becoming increasingly discouraged that the current plan will be sufficient to close the comp gap to sandwich/burger peers (widened to -630 bps in Sept), let alone NT. It’s also unclear whether McDonald’s will truly address ownership, capital and cost structure opportunities. However, we still see significant potential to unlock value through multiple avenues, both operational and strategic corporate actions. Further, we are encouraged that despite results which were even more disappointing than prior quarters, shares were only down slightly, highlighting the support from low expectations and valuation and w/ a ~3.7% div. yield. Combined, we view the risk/reward as favorable and remain Buy.

Shares of McDonald’s have gained 0.4% to $92.36 at 2:43 p.m. today, while Wendy’s (WEN) has risen 0.6% to $8.06 and Burger King (BKW) has dropped 1.2% to $31.72.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Amgen: Nice Beat, Still Questions

Shares of Amgen (AMGN) have edged higher in after-hours trading after the biotech giant beat the Street’s sales and earnings forecasts.

Reuters

Amgen reported a profit of $2.30 a share, not including items, on sales of $5.03 billion. That beat analyst forecasts for earnings of $2.11 a share on sales of $4.96 billion.

In Amgen’s press release, CEO Robert Bradway offered his take on the results:

Our 22 percent adjusted operating income growth reflects strong performance across our business in the third quarter. With regulatory submissions for four new products during the quarter, we are at the beginning of an exciting new product cycle. We look forward to describing progress in our long-term growth strategy and opportunities to build additional shareholder value during our Business Review meeting tomorrow.

ISI Group’s Mark Schoenebaum has his questions ready. Among them:

1.    What drove increase in Kyprolis – is this trend sustainable? What are market shares now vs Pomalyst?
2.    Why the big inventory change in Enbrel?
3.    Slides say you realized just 1% net price on Enbrel y/y . . . is that how we should model net price impact?…
6.    Why was R&D so light this quarter?…
8.    You realized 7% price for Epogen y/y – how is that possible and is it sustainable?

Shares of Amgen have gained 0.5% to $149 at 4:56 p.m. in after-hours trading.

Monday, October 27, 2014

Mike Khouw Sees Unusual Options Activity In Target

Related TGT Kohl's Preliminary Guidance Causes Retail To Indicate Lower Open How This 19-Year-Old Student Balances Momentum Trading With College JCP Names President, CEO Designee (Fox Business)

Mike Khouw spoke on CNBC's Options Action about bearish activity in Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT).

He said that four times average daily put options volume was traded in Target even though its earnings won't be released until the November 19. The most active options were the November 59.5 puts and traders were paying $1 for them. The breakeven for this trade is at $58.50 and the buyers are making a bet that the stock could drop approximately 5 percent in three and a half weeks.

Khouw added that traders might not be concerned just with the earnings report as delayed deliveries from Los Angeles port could be a major concern for Target, which is one of the largest importers through that port. Announced competition with Amazon.com, Inc. could also be a problem, thinks Khouw.

Posted-In: Mike KhouwCNBC Options Markets Media

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

  Related Articles (TGT) Mike Khouw Sees Unusual Options Activity In Target Kohl's Preliminary Guidance Causes Retail To Indicate Lower Open How This 19-Year-Old Student Balances Momentum Trading With College Markets Reverse Early Morning Gains Following Canadian Shooting Wunderlich Comments On Skechers In The Run-Up To Q3 Earnings The Year-Long Chain Of Retailer Data Breaches Around the Web, We're Loving... World Cup Championship of Binary Options! Huanity's Last Great Hope: Venture Capitalists Don't Miss The Next Webinar to Advance your Trading Will Apple Redefine How We Shop? Wh

Friday, October 24, 2014

Yes, Best Buy Really is a Buy Again (BBY)

Even as recently as a year ago, it's probably something one would never expect to hear again. But, Best Buy Co Inc. (NYSE:BBY) is a buy. Yes, the electronics retailer that was on the brink of disaster not too long ago has fought its way out of the quicksand, and is on the road to recovery. In fact, once could even argue that BBY is a little undervalued.

Just so there's no confusion, yes, this is the same Best Buy that in March of 2012 posted a quarterly loss of $1.7 billion after several quarters of same-store sales declines. This is the same retailer that ousted CEO Brian Dunn after just a short while on the job for what's still only vaguely an "inappropriate relationship." This is the same BBY that ultimately became a showroom for Amazon.com, demonstrating merchandise in-person for consumers who would then turn around and buy that good online at a noticeably better price than Best Buy's. Many thought Best Buy wouldn't survive. But, many were wrong.

How did the company dig itself out of such a deep hole? Largely on the back, and with leadership from, CEO Hubert Joly, who has more than lived up to his expectation as a turnaround artist. He did is, however, the old-fashioned way... without gimmicks, doing things right, like price-matching and better customer service.

The proof of the pudding is in the numbers. For the first time in a long time, Best Buy Co Inc. isn't on pace to post lower per-share income. Analysts expect to see a bottom line of $2.31 per share this fiscal year, versus $2.07 per share last year. These same pros believe BBY will earn $2.60 per share next fiscal year, when the revenue decline is expected to at least stabilize.

And for what it's worth, Best Buy has topped estimates in seven straight quarters. It's likely that the current profit forecasts underestimate how well the electronics retailer may do.

The really compelling part of the Best Buy Co turnaround story, however, is the current and forward-looking value of BBY stock. Its trailing P/E is 12.1, and the forward-looking one is 12.7. Both are below the average P/E levels of 15.5 for computer and electronics retailers. In that light, it's no wonder the stock has had such an easy time renewing its already-impressive uptrend this week.

Looking for something bigger? Take a look at the SmallCap Network Elite Opportunity service. It trades fast-moving stocks, in addition to providing you daily market insight and close looks at major market trends. You can even get a free two week trial. Just click here to learn more.

Four Reasons Why Amgen Won’t Break Up

Amgen (AMGN) has been a popular target for activist investors, who would like to see the biotech giant split itself in two. In a note published yesterday, RBC Capital Markets’ Michael Yee and team explain why that he doesn’t think that’s likely to happen:

Reuters

This is because based on long conversations with Amgen, 1) unlike pharma, Amgen’s commercial portfolio is quite concentrated (basically EPO, G-CSF, Enbrel), 2) commercial infrastructure can’t be split and is needed to launch new products (PCSK9, migraine, osteoporosis, etc) so how can you split up
infrastructure with new drugs that need to be sold in next 1-3 years?, 3) Amgen finance/tax advisors suggest legacy business if split off could see a higher estimated 30-35% tax rate than the current corporate reported rate of 15-18%, thus actually resulting in possible dilution that would have to be offset by significant P/E expansion 20-30% higher which is unlikely, 4) Amgen’s legacy business is basically flat to declining and consensus has it down 5% annually which doesn’t make it that attractive as a stand-alone and the significant cash flows are paying for the pipeline.

In other words, Amgen’s two units are too dependent on each other for a break-up to work right now, in our view. A business with steadily declining revenues or a business with an extensive lineup of costly development drugs with no clear superstar are tough investments under various playbooks. Our conversations with large shareholders support a similar view.

That doesn’t mean Yee thinks investors should bail on Amgen, though he does think that an increase in share price will have to come from its pipeline and investors willing to pay more for its shares.

Shares of Amgen have dropped 1.1% to $142.55 at 11:57 a.m. today.

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Ben & Jerry's Keeps 'Hazed & Confused' Name Over Protests

A shopper chooses a pint of Ben & Jerry's Hazed & Confused ice cream in a freezer  in a supermarket in New York Richard Levine/Alamy Vermont-based ice cream maker Ben & Jerry's has decided to keep the name of its new ice cream flavor, Hazed & Confused, according to Bloomberg. The company had considered a change in response to the complaint of a couple whose son, Harrison Kowiak, died in a fraternity hazing incident in 2008. The parents said that the name was insensitive and belittled a dangerous campus practice. Ben & Jerry's, which is owned by Unilever (UN), initially released the flavor in February 2014, reported Franchise Herald. The name is a reference to the phrase "dazed and confused," which is the name of a Led Zeppelin song and a 1993 coming-of-age move, according to Bloomberg. The ice cream contains chocolate and hazelnut, the latter being the source of the "hazed" part. Lianne and Brian Kowiak took notice in September and complained to the company. The website StopHazing.org urged its readers to send protests to Ben & Jerry's. The company said that it had only received a handful of comments, but would consider a name change in its October management meeting. Harrison Kowiak had a golf scholarship to Lenoir-Rhyne University. When a sophomore in 2008, he had pledged the Theta Chi fraternity, as the Tampa Bay Times reported. A lawsuit filed by the Kowiaks claimed that their 160-pound son and another boy had been put through a gauntlet line, where they were pushed, shoved, and tackled by fraternity members who weighed as much as 250 pounds and were on the school's football team.

At some point Kowiak could no longer stand. Instead of immediately calling 911, the lawsuit says, the fraternity brothers told him to get up and walk - which he did, until he collapsed. Finally, the brothers loaded him into one of their cars and drove them to Frye Regional Medical Center. Kowiak, the lawsuit says, suffered seizures along the way.

Allegedly, the fraternity members told the hospital that Kowiak was hurt in a sports accident. The injuries were serious enough that he had to be airlifted to a major medical center, where he died the next day from blunt trauma to the head, according to a medical examiner. The family settled the lawsuit in 2012, according to a blog post by the law firm Heygood, Orr & Pearson. Lianne Kowiak became an anti-hazing activist after her son's death and found herself at odds with the political arm of the fraternity industry, Bloomberg reported. Ultimately, Ben & Jerry's kept the name, with a corporate spokesperson telling Bloomberg that nothing in its marketing "condoned hazing, supported hazing, or even inferred hazing." In September, the company released a statement that said, "The flavor Hazed & Confused and Ben & Jerry's as a company in no way condone -- nor support in any manner -- the act of hazing or bullying. Ben & Jerry's believes that hazing and bullying have no place in our society." According to Merriam-Webster, the verb haze also means to make hazy, cloudy, or dull, which would actually be in keeping with the original song title. The Kowiaks said that Ben & Jerry's had "completely avoided ... the unintentional implications of this chosen name," according to the blog GrubStreet.com. It's not the first time Ben & Jerry's has faced controversy over its ice cream. In 2012, the company got into hot water over including fortune cookies in a flavor named for Jeremy Lin, a Harvard graduate who became a big professional basketball star, according to Boston.com.

Monday, October 20, 2014

Ford to Announce New CEO, Departure Date for Mulally: Bloomberg

Bloomberg is reporting that Ford is ready to announce a departure date for CEO Alan Mulally, as well as his replacement.

Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

From Bloomberg’s story:

Ford Motor Co., the second-largest U.S. automaker, will soon name Mark Fields its next chief executive officer and reveal when current CEO Alan Mulally will retire from the company he is credited with saving, according to two people familiar with the pending announcement.

Mulally, 68, will step down before the end of the year and be succeeded by Fields, 53, now chief operating officer, according to the people, who asked not to be identified revealing internal plans. The Dearborn, Michigan-based company may announce the moves as soon as May 1, the people said.

Mulally had been rumored to be the choice to replace Steve Ballmer at Microsoft (MSFT), until he removed his name from consideration.

Shares of Ford have dropped 0.3% to $15.95 at 2:21 p.m.

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Dividend Aristocrats In Focus Part 22

In part 22 of my 54 part Dividend Aristocrats In Focus series I take a look at the operations, growth prospects, and competitive advantage of asset manager T. Rowe Price Group (TROW). The company was founded in 1954 and has grown to $738 billion in assets under management. The company provides retirement plans, mutual funds, separately managed accounts, and a broad array of other financial and investment services. T. Rowe has increased its dividend payments to shareholders for 27 consecutive years. It is the only other asset management Dividend Aristocrat besides competitor Franklin Resources (BEN).

Competitive Advantage

T. Rowe's competitive advantage comes from its trusted name in the mutual fund industry. The company generates the bulk of its revenue from its mutual funds. As a result, outperformance compared to its peers is critical for the company to continue marketing its mutual funds. The company has outperformed its peers based on Lipper mutual fund averages. The percentage of the company's mutual funds that have outperformed over various time frames is shown below:

1 Year: 71% 3 Year: 76% 5 Year: 77% 10 Year: 82%

The company's competitive mutual fund products have helped it reach its massive scale. T. Rowe has a weaker competitive advantage than many of the other dividend aristocrats I have examined. As is repeated ad nauseam to investors, "past performance is no guarantee of future results". Just because T. Rowe has outperformed its peers over the last decade, does not necessarily mean it can keep pace indefinitely. If the company begins to slip, I would expect significant client outflows of money from its mutual funds.

Future Growth Prospects

T. Rowe's growth is driven by rising global markets and increasing its share of the asset management industry by attracting new clients to its funds. The company has benefitted greatly from the 5 year bull market we find ourselves in. As asset values increase, the fund has a larger asset under management base with which to charge fees. Of course, when markets correct, T. Rowe's asset base will shrink, along with its fees, revenues, and earnings per share.

The company's recent growth has been less than stellar when you account for the five year bull market. The company's full year 2013 marked the first time since 2001 when net cash flows into the company's various investment products and services was negative. There is no good reason for this other than the company is slowly losing ground. Total cash flows were negative again for the company's most recent second quarter 2014.

The financial landscape is trending toward ETFs and low fee options. Companies like Vanguard Group have experienced strong growth over the last decade benefitting from this trend. I don't believe T. Rowe price is going out of business any time soon, but I don't see a durable competitive advantage that differentiates it from its competition or protects it from the low fee trend in investing. With flat to negative cash flows and assuming long-term after inflation global market growth of 7% (which is generous), I can see T. Rowe growing EPS by 3% to 7% a year going forward, with the potential to do significantly worse over the next several years if a bear market reduces asset values.

Dividend Analysis

T. Rowe currently has a dividend yield of 2.3% and a payout ratio of about 37%. The company has increased its dividend payments for 27 consecutive years. With its above-average dividend yield and fairly low payout ratio, T. Rowe price has room to raise its dividend above overall company growth for several years.

Based on the overvalued nature of the market today and the higher likelihood of a recession, I believe T. Rowe's management will not grow its dividend payments faster than overall company growth even though it has the ability to do so. As a result, I would expect dividend growth significantly slower than the double-digit dividned per share growth the company has seen in the last decade.

Recession Performance

T. Rowe saw earnings and revenue fall during the Great Recession of 2007 to 2009. To the company's credit, earnings per share remained positive throughout the recession. The company quickly rebounded, and reached new highs in earnings per share by 2010. The company's revenue per share and earnings per share throughout the most recent recession and through the first year of recovery are listed below to give you a better idea of the company's performance through that time.

2007 EPS of $2.40, revenue per share of $8.42 2008 EPS of $1.82, revenue per share of $8.24 2009 EPS of $1.65, revenue per share of $7.22 2010 EPS of $2.53, revenue per share of $9.15

Valuation

The market has clearly disagreed with my assessment of T. Rowe. The company has traded at a 1.26x premium to the S&P500's PE ratio over the last decade. I do not believe the company possesses a strong competitive advantage that will insulate it from the effects of competition going forward.

As a result, I do not believe the company should command a premium over the S&P500's PE ratio. Historically, the S&P500's PE ratio has averaged 15. I place the fair multiple for T. Rowe at 15. The fair value for the company today, with current ultra-low interest rates and an overvalued market is around 18, in line with the S&P500's current PE ratio. T. Rowe currently trades at a PE ratio of 17.5, making it about fairly valued relative to inflated market levels, and slightly overvalued relative on an absolute basis based on my analysis.

Final Thoughts

T. Rowe Price Group has had a strong 27 year run of increasing dividends. I believe the company's competitive advantage has significantly weakened over the last decade with the rise of low cost ETFs and the difficulty the company has in differentiating itself from competition. As a result, I believe there are better dividend growth options available elsewhere for investors seeking growth and/or income.

About the author:Sure DividendI run Sure Dividend, a website that finds high quality dividend stocks for long-term investors using the 8 Rules of Dividend Investing

Visit Sure Dividend's Website

Monday, October 13, 2014

Week in FX Americas – Fed Minutes Shows Appetite for Rate Patience

The EUR/USD started the week in a now familiar strong USD tune after a strong employment number the week before. The main event for the pair was the release of the minutes from the FOMC meeting two weeks ago. The actual minutes were more dovish than originally expected even after Chair Yellen's press conference. A strong NFP fueled the expectation that the Fed would have seen the recovery coming. After the minutes the USD lost ground against all majors with the EUR/USD almost reaching 1.28.

The USD was able to regain some ground on the back of global growth forecasts cuts by the IMF and soft data out of Germany. The Canadian employment data provided the surprise of the week after crushing expectations of 20,000 new jobs with an actual 74,100 print. Sceptics will point out that Statistics Canada has reportedly erroneously in the past, and the Australian Bureau of Statistics the most recent example of expectation beating figures being way offside. For the moment CAD was boosted by the mostly full time job creation.

Global Growth
The International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and OECD have all cut growth forecasts for 2014 and 2015. Here divergence amongst recovering economies is clear. US and the UK lead the developed world with Europe and Japan stuck at a standstill. Emerging markets continue to struggle trapped between diminishing foreign direct investment that is going back to safe havens as major central banks make their move and geopolitical events unfold diminishing appetite for riskier investments.

Commodities
Stunted global economic growth has reduced the demand for all commodities. Base metals along with precious have lost as supply is way ahead of demand. Oil has been hit by slowdown of China and remains to be seen if the OPEC discounts trigger a price war, specially after the US has increased its productions due to technological advances. There is a lot of supply in the market and refineries are looking for cheaper crude.

Next Week For Americas:

North America and Japan have a short trading week with Monday being a bank holiday. China kick starts events with the release of their trade numbers on the weekend. Most of the week will be dominated by price reports from the U.K, China and Canada. By Tuesday, investors get to gage business and economic sentiment from Australia and Germany. On Wednesday, Draghi is due to deliver opening remarks at the 7th Statistics Conference in Frankfurt. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues. The US delivers key sales numbers, weekly claims and rounds off the week with consumer sentiment and Fed Chair Yellen speaking in Boston.

Fore more market moving events visit the MarketPulse Economic Calendar

WEEK AHEAD

* GBP Core Consumer Price Index
* EUR German ZEW Survey (Economic Sentiment)
* CNY Consumer Price Index
* USD Advance Retail Sales
* CAD Bank Canada Consumer Price Index Core
* USD U. of Michigan Confidence

The following article is from one of our external contributors. It does not represent the opinion of Benzinga and has not been edited.

Posted-In: Forex Markets

Originally posted here...

  Related Articles Cramer Advises Viewers On The Gap, Mobileye NV And Medallion Financial LinkedIn Shares Have A Bit Further To Fall Before Bulls Stand Their Ground Mike Khouw's Goldman Sachs Trade Fast Money Picks For October 13 - Intel, Goldman Sachs And Bitcoin CNBC's Stock Pops & Drops From October 10 Benzinga Weekly Preview: Earnings Season Begins Around the Web, We're Loving...

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Chinese Firm Buys the Waldorf Astoria: Is a 'China Panic' Next?

Waldorf Astoria Hotel Courtesy Hilton WorldwideWelcome, new owners! When the Waldorf Astoria Hotel opened on New York City's Park Avenue in 1931, President Herbert Hoover called it "an exhibition of courage and confidence to the whole nation." He didn't mean China. So one can imagine Hoover spinning in his grave over this week's announcement that Chinese insurance company Anbang purchased the hotel from Hilton Worldwide Holdings, for a whopping $1.95 billion. A Hilton spokesperson told me that "Many luxury hotels in New York have foreign ownership" -- among them the Carlyle, Mandarin Oriental, Pierre, Plaza and Peninsula -– "so it's not an atypical arrangement by any means." And Chinese companies have been buying U.S. real estate for years now, including the General Motors Building and One Chase Manhattan Plaza in New York. Still, for many (not just) Americans, this particular sale strikes close to the heart. The Waldorf's 1,413 guest rooms, three restaurants and 60,000 square feet of banquet halls occupy a whole city block and have hosted U.S. presidents, world leaders and countless celebs. Given that pedigree, the sale can feel like a blow to American national pride. If you were around in the 1980s and early '90s, the sale of the Waldorf and other properties may also recall the Japanese buying spree of American landmarks from Rockefeller Center to Pebble Beach Golf Club. You probably remember media reports of a "Japan panic," with American investors priced out of the U.S. property market. Is there cause for a China panic this time? "It's not the same," says Susan Wachter, professor of real estate and finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. "The driving force in the Japan expansion was that Japanese market prices were so high -- clearly in bubble territory. Japanese investors found U.S. real estate bargain priced, and overpaid," Wachter says, causing a corresponding run up in U.S. prices. On the other hand, Wachter calls Chinese real estate investors "much more long term and selective," with no desire to inflate prices. Case in point: $1.95 billion, while an eye-popping sum, is about current market value for a city block in Midtown Manhattan. As an insurance company, she says, Anbang "needs steady, safe returns over the long run, not short-term opportunities for cheap properties and quick profits." Another big difference: in addition to the purchase price, the deal includes a separate 100-year management contract with Hilton, and Hilton says that Anbang will pay for hotel renovations. The Hilton spokesperson says it all "speaks to the relationship and the benefits that can come out of it." "There will be case studies on this investment," Wachter predicts. "It's about as far as you can get from a strategic, in-and-out investment."